Nos Eaton Ignoring the Contrary, Quantum Thought #101 One of the most frustrating exercises in human interaction can be arguing with someone who simply ignores or discounts any evidence that might con...
Nos Eaton
Ignoring the Contrary, Quantum Thought #101
One of the most frustrating exercises in human interaction can be arguing with someone who simply ignores or discounts any evidence that might contradict their opinion. It can be sobering to realize that we are all guilty of this faulty logic. We have a strong predisposition to what is called the Ubiquitous Confirmation Bias.The variation on the Watson Card Selection Task that follows is a wonderful illustration of this bias. Try it on yourself and share it with the loved ones you argue with the most: Each of the cards below has a letter on one side and a number on the other. Which two should be turned over to give you the most information on evaluating the following statement?
"If there is an S on one side, there is a 3 on the other"
CARDS
[S] [E] [1] [3]
Integrating the Contrary:
75% choose the S and 3. They believe that if the S has a 3 and the 3 has an S on their reverse sides, that this will confirm the statement "If there is an S on one side, there is a 3 on the other." 75% are wrong. While you must prove that "If there is an S on one side, there is a 3 on the other," you are not looking for any proof about what is on the other side of a 3. Therefore, what is on the reverse of the 3 gives us no meaningful information. Our predisposition is to prove the theory when we should be trying to disprove it. We should look at the other sides of the S (if there is any number other than 3 then the statement is false) and the 1 (if there is an S on the other side then the statement is false).
The Confirmation Bias is a particular problem when we start with a favored result we want to justify as we will underestimate our bias and overestimate it in others.
Living a life without any logical biases may be impossible, but acknowledging the bias may help us to be a little more humble.
Visit Sam Eaton's Quantum Thoughts blog for more odd insights into our perception of the world.
About the Author
Sam Eaton is a professional Mentalist, con-artist and entertainer. His show, The Quantum Eye has been in an open run in New York City since August of '06 and he can be seen in corporate events around the country. For more of his Quantum Thoughts, visit his blog at www.thequantumeye.com/quantumthoughts.
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Eaton Corporation - Swot Analysis - Market Reserach Report On Aarkstore Enterprise
Eaton Corporation - SWOT Analysis company profile is the essential source for top-level company data and information. Eaton Corporation - SWOT Analysis examines the company's key business structure and operations, history and products, and provides summary analysis of its key revenue lines and strategy.
Eaton is a diversified industrial manufacturer in electrical systems for power quality, distribution and control; hydraulics components, systems and services for industrial and mobile equipment; aerospace fuel, hydraulics and pneumatic systems for commercial and military use; and truck and automotive drivetrain and powertrain systems for performance, fuel economy and safety. The company primarily operates in the US. It is headquartered in Cleveland, Ohio and employs 75,000 people. The company recorded revenues of $15,376 million during the financial year ended December 2008 (FY2008), an increase of 18% over FY2007. The increase in revenues was due to Eaton's improved business and geographic balance. The operating profit of the company was $1,285 million during FY2008, an increase of 8.2% over FY2007. The net profit was $1,058 million in FY2008, an increase of 6.4% over FY2007.
Scope of the Report
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Table of Contents :
This product typically includes the following sections:
SWOT COMPANY PROFILE: Eaton Corporation
Key Facts: Eaton Corporation
Company Overview: Eaton Corporation
Business Description: Eaton Corporation
Company History: Eaton Corporation
Key Employees: Eaton Corporation
Key Employee Biographies: Eaton Corporation
Products & Services Listing: Eaton Corporation
Products & Services Analysis: Eaton Corporation
SWOT analysis: Eaton Corporation
*Strengths: Eaton Corporation
*Weaknesses: Eaton Corporation
*Opportunities: Eaton Corporation
*Threats: Eaton Corporation
Company View: Eaton Corporation
Top Competitors: Eaton Corporation
Location and Subsidiary: Eaton Corporation
*Head Office: Eaton Corporation
*Other Locations and Subsidiaries: Eaton Corporation
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